Add rating snapshots, percentile, and exam readiness to the dashboard API
Backend half of the dashboard stat-card redesign. Three new data points the old DashboardResponse had no way to compute: - Week-over-week rating deltas: UserRating/CcsUserRating only ever stored the current Elo (mutated in place, UpdatedUtc just means "last touched"), so there was no way to know what a rating was 7 days ago. Added UserRatingSnapshot (new collection, unique on UserId+DateUtc) and UserRatingSnapshotService, a BackgroundService following AnswerStatisticsMaintenanceService's exact shape (a PeriodicTimer plus a Mongo lease so replicas behind the HPA don't race), writing one snapshot per user per day. No historical backfill - deltas are simply null for a user's first ~7 days after this ships, which the DTO represents honestly via nullable ints rather than a fake "+0". - Percentile rank: DashboardStore now counts how many users have a higher OverallElo/Elo than the current user out of the total. - Exam Readiness + projected pass rate: reuses the existing, tested IRT-based ExamSimulationScore.PassProbability (a real normal-CDF estimate of scoring >=200, computed in ExamSimulationScoring.Calculate) rather than inventing a new prediction model. DashboardStore pulls the latest completed simulation's score directly and maps PassProbability to a High/Medium/Low label via tunable thresholds. - Average Score's "+6% vs last 100" needed no new data source at all - just one more slice (Skip(100).Take(100)) over the QuestionAttempts already loaded for FirstAttemptAccuracy. Added DashboardStore.Percentile/ReadinessLabel as pure static helpers (matching the existing Percentage/CalculateCurrentStreak pattern) and unit tests for both. Full backend suite: 165 passed, 0 failed.
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@@ -349,6 +349,8 @@ public class CcsUserRating
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public string UserId { get; set; } = "";
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public int Elo { get; set; } = 1000;
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public int RatedCaseCount { get; set; }
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public int? HistoryBaselineElo { get; set; }
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public DateTime? HistoryStartedUtc { get; set; }
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public DateTime UpdatedUtc { get; set; } = DateTime.UtcNow;
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}
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